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2024-12-14 03:31:35

Japanese enterprise survey: Enterprises believe that Trump's next presidential term will have a negative impact on the business environment, and 60% of Japanese enterprises expect that the trading range of USD/JPY will be between 140 and 150 by 2025. Half of Japanese companies expect higher profits in the next fiscal year.Syrian caretaker Prime Minister said that the current government will manage the transitional period of the country. On the 11th local time, Syrian caretaker Prime Minister Mohamed Bashir said that the current government will manage the transitional period and take over the archives of various ministries and agencies of the Assad government. He mentioned that he had met with the relevant personnel of the former government and made relevant handover, and the "Syrian National Salvation Government" would assume the responsibilities of the existing ministries and commissions.Canada's stock index closed up 0.6% on the day when the central bank cut interest rates, Brazil's real rose over 1% on the day when the central bank raised interest rates, and Canada's S&P /TSX composite index closed up 0.60% at 25,657.70 points, approaching the closing record high of 25,691.80 points on December 6 and the intraday record high of 25,843.20 points on December 9. Small-cap stocks closed up 0.74% at 847.15 points. In late North America on Wednesday (December 11th), the yield of Canada's 10-year benchmark government bonds rose by 6.7 basis points to 3.085%. The yield of debt increase in the two-year period rose by 5.3 basis points to 2.941%. After the US CPI inflation data was released at 21:30 Beijing time, the refresh rate was as low as 2.827%. After the Bank of Canada announced a 50 basis point interest rate cut at 22:45, it pulled back steeply from 2.84% to 2.960% at 03:06. The yield of five-year debt increase rose by 6.1 basis points to 2.891%. Mexico Composite Index closed down 0.17%, while Mexican peso rose 0.11% against the US dollar. The index of Sao Paulo Stock Exchange in Brazil closed up 1.06% to 130,000 points, and since it rose to a record high of 137,000 points on August 28th, it has been continuously and smoothly adjusted back. The Brazilian real rose by 1.43% against the US dollar, and it was reported at R $5.9647 before the Brazilian central bank raised interest rates by 100 basis points and predicted that it would raise interest rates in the next two times.


Economic Daily: "Stabilizing the stock market" strongly guides stabilizing expectations. The article said that the key to stabilizing the stock market is to stabilize confidence. Recently, the stock market has been active in trading, and investors' confidence in the economic improvement and corporate profits has improved. All parties look forward to leveraging the stock market as the entry point to further stabilize the economy and steady growth. This expectation can only form a continuous positive feedback if it is mutually reinforced with the positive signals on the economic side. In the future, it is necessary to continue to improve the forward-looking, targeted and effective macro-control, urge all localities and departments to implement the defined policies and measures as soon as possible, solidly promote the economic upward, structural improvement and sustained development, and promote confidence boost and a virtuous circle and spiral rise in economic fundamentals.In addition to the front page content, today's People's Daily's main financial contents include: 1. Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area has added a large channel, the Huangmaohai cross-sea channel, to traffic; 2. The five departments issued a document to strengthen the recruitment and employment security of manufacturing industry and promote the formation of a recruitment and employment consortium; In March and November, the production and sales of new energy vehicles increased by 45.8% and 47.4% respectively. 4. Promote common development with the spirit of "helping each other with the same ball" (harmony); 5. Experts from the World Economic Forum: China has contributed to the global clean energy transformation; 6. Gao Yunlong attended the opening ceremony of the second Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Business Conference and delivered a speech; 7. The natural gas supply capacity of "three highs and one drop" in coal supply and demand during peak winter has been further improved; 8. Pay attention to system integration and build a high-level socialist market economic system with systematic thinking (targeted); 9. The market scale of China's crop seed industry exceeded 150 billion yuan for the first time last year. Industry-University-Research used integrated seed industry to improve quality and efficiency (high-quality development sees highlights and readings); In October and November, the passenger traffic of urban rail transit exceeded 2.7 billion passengers; 11, China's first 500 kv provincial digital power grid construction progress more than half; 12. Hangzhou Market Supervision Bureau launched the "Safe Consumption Receipt Code"; 13. Indonesia plans to add a number of special economic zones in the next four years; 14. Economic Outlook Report of the European Commission in Autumn 2024-The EU economy is expected to grow by 0.9% this year; 15. The Japanese enterprise price index reached the highest year-on-year increase in 17 months.The new format is superimposed with new links, and Zhejiang private enterprises are busy going out to sea, and Zhejiang private enterprises have become the main force of "going out to sea". Data show that from January to October this year, there were 106,000 private enterprises with import and export performance in Zhejiang Province, an increase of 8.3%; The total import and export value is 3.53 trillion yuan, accounting for 80.8% of the total import and export value of the province. Recently, the reporter learned from interviews in Ningbo, Yiwu and other places in Zhejiang that despite the severe macroeconomic situation, the advantages of industrial clusters, technology and manufacturing in China are still obvious. Many private enterprises seize the new opportunities of overseas trade, lay a solid foundation in the direction of R&D, design and brand management, and sketch a new growth curve; At the same time, under the impetus of the government, cross-border e-commerce, overseas warehouses and other new formats go hand in hand and smooth the new link of "going out to sea". (SSE)


Cai Weidong was appointed as the deputy secretary of the Party Committee of Shentong Metro Group. According to the news of Shentong Metro Group, on the afternoon of December 11th, Shentong Metro Group held a leadership adjustment announcement meeting. At the meeting, the Organization Department of the Municipal Party Committee announced that Cai Weidong was appointed as the deputy secretary of the Party Committee of Shanghai Shentong Metro Group Co., Ltd., and Ge Shiping was removed from the post of deputy secretary of the Party Committee of Shanghai Shentong Metro Group Co., Ltd.CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%."The number of accounts opened exceeds expectations" is a general evaluation of the pilot situation of personal pension in the industry. Starting with the announcement of the pilot list of 36 cities (regions) on November 25th, 2022, by the end of June 2023, in less than one year, the number of people opening individual pension accounts has reached 40.3 million, and by the end of June 2024, the number of people opening individual pension accounts in China has exceeded 60 million. (Securities Times)

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